Friday, 30 November 2007

The Empty - Day 3 (cont)

Sparked up the computer at 12.30pm and played 4 tables together (20NL, 40NL, 25NL, 40NL). I won a combined $12 on three tables and lost a whopping $40 getting stacked twice on the 20NL table. One was the KQ v KT hand I posted earlier. The other was a reraised preflop and I hit trips Ts on a AT2 flop. We got allin on the flop and he turned over AK. Runner runner club and I was felted.
A 97% favourite.

I also got all in with AK on an A766 board. He calls with AQ and the river is a 6 meaning a split pot.

I struggled a little four tabling and timed out on maybe 5 hands. One of them was KK and the other 77.

Ended up about $30 down at Poker4 Ever and about $40 down on the day. Meh.

Scary stuff

After buying in and felting two opponents I was playing with a $100 stack and a $70 at very aggressive 50NL with several opponents covering me and a very aggressive game.

On the $100 stack table I was on the BB and facing a raise for 1.75 and a call. I reraise for $6 bucks and both call.

Flop comes T98 with two diamonds.
Pot: $18.50
I bet pot and get called by both!
Turn appears to be a blank.
My play?

The Empty - Day 3

Results and final figures to follow.
Here are a few hands for comment.

1)
UTG - Me $38.25
MP - $8.75
CO - covers me
Button Covers me
SB - $25
BB - covers me

I have 33 under the gun and raise to 1.75
MP calls
CO folds
Button calls
SB folds
BB calls

Flop: Jclubs 93 (rainbow)
BB bets 0.85
I call
MP bets 1.70
Button Calls
BB Calls
My play?

2) On the the Big Blind with Jacks I have a raise for 1.75 and a call from button in front of me. I bet 6.00. The original raiser folds and the smooth-caller reraised all in for his last $14. Me?
3) The very next hand I'm now short stacked at $22. Raiser and 3 callers (told you its a loose table). I bump it up from the small blind to $7. One caller from the button. Flop J76 rainbow
Pot: around $20
I have :$15
Me?
4) Got all in with KQ against KT with KQT3 (two clubs). Ten hits and I lose my stack.
5) Aggressive Button bets 1.75. I've folded a few and reraise to $6 with A9s. he calls.
Flop A9x.
Pot: 12.50
I bet $9
Turn an A hits.
30 in the pot.
Pump fist and shove or shove and pump fist?
6) Raise TT and get called. Flop KTx. Turn and river are not scary and I put him allin on the river. He calls with AA.

1) continued
I raise to 7.50
UTG calls (allin)Button calls
BB folds
Turn: 7 clubs
Pot: $31I have $30 remaining.
My play?

Deadly Hands

Quote Deadly
"Some Hands last night. Around 11pm I decided i needed some poker action as I hadn't played since coming back from Macau.Went for the quick rush of HU 50NL on Cardoza.First game. Me $50, opponent $70. Dealt to me KQ (club and heart I think)He smooth calls on the button I repop to $2 - he calls.Flop is KdQd10sI bet pot - $4he calls - $4Turn is 3sI bet pot - $12He calls - $12River is 10d (scare card in every way)I check, he checksHe had Ad7d and takes it down. What to do different here?
My goodness I had exactly the same hand last night up to the turn. I had position though. He bet out and I raised on the flop. He bet again and I pushed on the turn. He showed KT and spiked the ten on the river!
As played I think its fine. Was your plan to check/call? Against an aggressive opponent prone to bluffing you may consider sticking in a blocking bet in on the river. Next handI am dealt Qh9hRaise on the button to 1.75 -he calls.Flop is Kxx all hearts.I bet - $3He raises to $19 - pot betI re-raise all in - my remaining $27 or so.(I put him on a big flush draw - and I don't have enough behind to do much more)He calls and shows Ah3hWhat are the chances?He then sits out. Types "sorrz"
Standard. You can't worry about getting overflushed there. Get your money in. I try to get him to play for a while but no dice. He is sitting out on 3 tables.I find another table. This time the villian AAungarAA (i don't think it's him) was sat with $148.We low ball it for quite a while - back and forth until this hand.Me A10 suited - I forget which.Flop is A,10 x.I raised pre-flop and bet pot on every street. River was a 10 and I take down a chunk of change. I'm now on $95 ish and he is at $80 ishThen.Dealt KK on the button.I raise to 2.25 - I vary my raises so much as the slide bar control is tricky :-)He repops to $10 or so. I repop him to $30+ and of course he goes all in. What do you do here?".

Mmm tricky one.
His range is obviously pretty narrow. AA, KK, AK.
Against that range your only slightly behind (47%) with money in the pot.
With that range its a call but...........
AK while quite possible depending on the player he may chicken out here and fold or flat-call (poor play).
It's really a read dependent decision. From the previous hand he's shown he's willing to call down big pots without the nuts so he does have some gamble in him.
If we assumed that he would only make the play with Aces or AKs you become a big dog at 30%. You are calling maybe $40 to win $120 and getting odds of 3-1.
So if you run it 100 times then 70 times you lose $80 (-$5600)
30 times you win ($+2400)
Ev: -3,200
if you fold always then you lose $35 x 100 = -$3500
So if that range is accurate then a call is slightly better.
On the other hand.....
- According to Harrington the fourth raise is always Pocket Aces. (He also says assign 10% bluff ratio always though).
Fold.
But...........
- It's headsup. His range is likely bigger.
Pro calling
- if you gamble you are more likely to get paid off in future.
pro folding
- It may put you on tilt.
I'd probably make a call based on poker tracker stats. Aggression 4 or more I'd call. 2.5 I'd fold. In between I'd toss a coin!
I recently pushed for a $70 stack against an aggressive player and he called. We both had Aks and split the pot.
So my final advice to you is call but spike a King just to be on the safe side. ;-)

Thursday, 29 November 2007

Deal or No Deal

Ladbrokes and a few other sites offer a 'Deal or No Deal' game aimed I guess at the Bingo crowd on their site. They offer a 10GBP bonus for trying it out. As my account is for US$ I deposited $25 to make sure I covered the full amount ($21 is enough). The minimum game is $1 so you need to play 21 times to clear the bonus.

I didn't calculate the -ev on the game but I'd guess maybe $17 worth of value spread amongst 26 options so you should lose between $5 and $10 playing.
I used the following tactic:
1) Pick a case
2) Click autoselect
3) Take Deal
4) Rinse and repeat.

I lost $5 and made $20. Cash out - play poker.

I think that Coral etc do this so if its +ev there I'll deposit and let Mrs P play a little and I'll give her any winnings and underwrite any losses.

Hello Bankroll!

Whores!

The wife is away and I've got $1000 bucks ready to go in the wee sma' hours of Sunday morning set aside for some whoring activity. I've even set my alarm for 3am for a little 'Happy Hour' fun.

Poker4Ever do two special happy hours where you can deposit and the give you a 10% bonus. It's only available between 2pm and 5pm Eastern time which is bloody annoying. I'm therefore biting the bullet as I suspect I'll be arriving home at sometime in this window and I can set myself up for an easy US$100 bonus.

Obviously with that money I can afford the real McCoy if I was that way inclined.

The Empty - Day 3

You would have been given long odds if you predicted that Ballet or ice skating would get in the way of this weeks poker mission but that's what happened. With a few tickets from work for Swan Lake it was with cautious optimism I attended after hearing glowing reports from the gaffer. I have to say I was rather impressed. Quite a spectacular performance. Those ruskies can skate. I managed a brief session on Poker4Ever after work and tallied another $7. I also took advantage of another promo - more on this later.

After a two and a half hour performance I caught the 11.30pm ferry so it was 12.30am before the computer was sparked up and the first hand dealt. As it was late I decided to gradually build up to three tables. Two 50NL and one 40NL which emptied and was replaced by a 20NL table. Managed to maintain a 10PTBB/100 on all tables for just I guess around 180 table minutes in total. I'm guessing around +$35 but I'll have to check that figure.

All in all another good day with another +$57 day chalked up and my PTBB/100 at Interpoker now upped to around 2.5.