A change of heart, I decide I want to give Stars another chance. Join a table and after fifteen minutes I hit a big hand. Playing five handed I raise 5 5 under the gun to $1. I'm not being given too much respect on my raises by this guy and as big blind calls with US$16 behind (I cover). Flop 5 6 7 rainbow. BB bets U$1.50. I give him a pretty big range here. I'm worried about giving a draw a free card and if he has an overpair or two pair I may be able to bust him. I raise to US$5. He comes back over the top and goes all in. What does he have?
Trips - 2 outs and I'm almost drawing dead. 20%?
Made straight - I have 8 outs on the turn then 11 on the river. Odds of 2.5-1(?) on catching a full house. I need to call another $10 to win $32. I have the pot odds to call. So my big re-raise committed me - need to give that bet size some thought for next time. 30%
Two pair - I'm well ahead and I put this down as his most likely holding. 35%
Overpair - If he has AA or KK he has played them strangely. QQ is possible I guess, JJ or lower then he is being extremely aggressive. 10%
Top pair and draw - outside possibility. I think he would have folded this to my reraise or just called. 5%
Ultimately I'm not going to fold trips so I call.
My connection goes awry and I have to wait about 45 secs before returning to the table. First thing I notice is he is sitting out and I have his cash. Woo hoo! Then I notice a lot of chatter in german with the word 'Gluck' appearing a lot. I surmise from this he was ahead and I've hit the full house. I check the hand history and indeed he had 8 9o and a 6 hit on the river to boat me up.
Well I'll try and remember this one when I finally take a costly bad beat.
My connection at Stars continues to be temperamental. I switch to Paradise take down a couple more dollars and decide to call it a night and start watching a movie before crashing out.
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