Ok after posting so many hands. I thought it worthwhile to take some time to assess his play and see if I could work out his style.
As I mentioned he plays 66% of hands raising with just 0.6%. Poker Tracker shows him as being a big fish yet he has won more from me than any other player I've faced. This may just be that he is catching some big hands against me of course and I reckon I had some tough spots to contend with.
Looking into his stats a bit closer his aggression on different streets was as follows.
Pre-flop - <1
Flop: <1
Turn: 3
River: 10
His tactic seems to be to call anything down to the turn and then bet if checked to on the turn or even min-reraise.
He then follows up with a bet on the river. His overall aggression of 1.75 is actually very misleading. If a fish makes a bet on the river he usually has a big hand and its an easy laydown without the nuts or close to it but this guy has a lot of river bluffs in his range. Maybe all of his river bets were bluffs!
This seems to be very effective against me. I'll only be playing good hand or reasonable hands in position and usually raise and then continuation bet on the flop.
So when he bets on the turn and I've missed he gets some easy money. I tried double barrelling and got called both times and then he bets or calls on the river. If I face aggression on the turn and river and the guy doesn't seem aggressive I really want to showdown a big hand.
I think this guys post-flop skills are very good and suspect he is a winning player. Or maybe he is just a fish that has been getting very lucky.
Very interesting style and I suspect he may be targeting TAG's who are capable of laying down with his cold-calls (I'll look into that). Is it a strategy aimed at beating people with Poker Tracker?!??
After being felted on the last hand I left. I felt after the last hand if I wasn't already tilting then I was about to.
So armed with a good idea of how he plays should I play at his table again given the chance or should I look for easier pickings elsewhere? What do ya reckon?
I think I'd just watch him for a while first and build up a better view of how he plays.
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2 comments:
My suspicion is that he actually may be pretty good, or at least has found a way of making money at low limit HE. Whilst rules apply, such as pot odds etc he realises that the actual values involved are small until he hits the later rounds of betting. Therefore calling through to the turn / river seems to work for him.
I saw a guy on Bodog yesterday take $250 from a .25 / .50 table through playing Hyper aggressive. He would then nearly always go All in on the turn or river and when called seemed to suck out with alarming frequency....I was waiting for a premium hand to go after him (table had gone from 9 to 3 by then) when my son decided he needed to be cuddled - bless. Couldn't find him later......and Bodog doesn't have a player search facility.
allin
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